Análisis Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1934 |
LEI
4 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1934 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1934 |
ARS
2 - 1
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1934 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1934 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 2
STO
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1934 |
HUR
2 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |