Premier League Jor. 19

Análisis Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal Aston Villa
93 ELO 88
7% Tilt 16.3%
16º Ranking ELO general 53º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.1%
Arsenal
19.9%
Empate
15%
Aston Villa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Arsenal
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aston Villa
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Arsenal
+2%
+8%
Aston Villa

Progresión del ELO

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 dic. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 0
Hull City
HUL
81%
13%
6%
93 78 15 0
16 dic. 2009
BUR
Burnley
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
14%
21%
65%
93 78 15 0
13 dic. 2009
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
48%
24%
29%
93 93 0 0
09 dic. 2009
OLP
Olympiacos
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
8%
14%
78%
93 83 10 0
05 dic. 2009
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Stoke City
STO
79%
14%
7%
93 81 12 0

Partidos

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 dic. 2009
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
66%
21%
13%
89 80 9 0
15 dic. 2009
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
28%
25%
46%
88 81 7 +1
12 dic. 2009
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
72%
18%
10%
88 96 8 0
05 dic. 2009
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hull City
HUL
65%
21%
14%
88 79 9 0
01 dic. 2009
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 4
Aston Villa
ASV
37%
26%
37%
88 84 4 0