Premier League Jor. 31

Análisis Arsenal vs Reading

Arsenal Reading
91 ELO 79
8.3% Tilt 20.6%
16º Ranking ELO general 1617º
Ranking ELO país 50º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
78.4%
Arsenal
14.3%
Empate
7.3%
Reading

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Arsenal
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Reading
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Arsenal
Reading
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 mar. 2013
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
22%
23%
55%
90 84 6 0
13 mar. 2013
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
71%
18%
12%
90 95 5 0
03 mar. 2013
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
40%
24%
36%
90 89 1 0
23 feb. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
69%
18%
13%
90 83 7 0
19 feb. 2013
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
26%
23%
51%
90 94 4 0

Partidos

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 mar. 2013
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
Reading
REA
86%
10%
4%
79 94 15 0
09 mar. 2013
REA
Reading
1 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
39%
24%
37%
79 83 4 0
02 mar. 2013
EVE
Everton
3 - 1
Reading
REA
69%
19%
12%
79 88 9 0
23 feb. 2013
REA
Reading
0 - 3
Wigan Athletic
WIG
48%
24%
28%
80 81 1 -1
18 feb. 2013
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Reading
REA
87%
10%
3%
80 94 14 0