Análisis Varese vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUS
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIR
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 1
CES
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 dic. 2012 |
SAS
5 - 0
CES
64%
22%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |