Quinta Suiza Jor. 16

Análisis Ascona vs Hergiswil

Ascona Hergiswil
28 ELO 25
-7.3% Tilt -6.9%
22824º Ranking ELO general 22840º
221º Ranking ELO país 237º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
46.4%
Ascona
21.3%
Empate
32.2%
Hergiswil

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
Ascona
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.2%
Win probability
Hergiswil
1.67
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO12.616.720.92529.133.237.341.445.649.753.857.96266.170.374.4-65.4%-59.6%-53.7%-47.9%-42.1%-36.2%-30.4%-24.6%-18.7%-12.9%-7.1%-1.3%4.6%10.4%16.2%22.1%27.9%33.7%39.6%45.4%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

22º23º24º25º26º27º28º29ºApr .15Jul .15Nov .15Feb .16
Ascona
Hergiswil
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ascona
Ascona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 mar. 2016
HOC
Hochdorf
1 - 1
Ascona
ASC
28%
23%
50%
28 21 7 0
04 nov. 2015
ASC
Ascona
2 - 2
Willisau
WIL
69%
17%
14%
29 20 9 -1
31 oct. 2015
ASC
Ascona
0 - 0
AS Castello
CAS
54%
21%
25%
29 26 3 0
24 oct. 2015
KUS
FC Küssnacht am Rigi
1 - 3
Ascona
ASC
26%
23%
52%
28 20 8 +1
17 oct. 2015
ASC
Ascona
5 - 2
Goldau
GOL
33%
22%
45%
26 30 4 +2

Partidos

Hergiswil
Hergiswil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 mar. 2016
HER
Hergiswil
2 - 0
Eschenbach
ESC
43%
24%
33%
25 27 2 0
31 oct. 2015
SAR
Sarnen
1 - 0
Hergiswil
HER
27%
22%
51%
25 20 5 0
24 oct. 2015
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 1
Ibach
IBA
35%
25%
40%
25 32 7 0
14 oct. 2015
HER
Hergiswil
3 - 2
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
25 17 8 0
10 oct. 2015
HOC
Hochdorf
1 - 2
Hergiswil
HER
28%
21%
51%
24 21 3 +1