Análisis Spezia vs Pavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
ARZ
3 - 0
SPE
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 2
SAS
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 3
ARZ
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |