Análisis Spezia vs Varese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 dic. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 dic. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 3
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
SPE
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
SPE
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 dic. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 dic. 2014 |
PES
2 - 0
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
CRO
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACD
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |