Análisis Spezia vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 2
SPE
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
SPE
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 2
PES
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SPE
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 2
PIA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |