Análisis Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1958 |
LEE
0 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 4
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1958 |
BBU
2 - 3
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 1
WOL
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 3
WBA
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 1958 |
LEE
2 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |