Análisis Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 1983 |
WOL
1 - 1
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1983 |
LUT
1 - 0
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1983 |
ASV
5 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1983 |
ARS
4 - 1
NTT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1983 |
ARS
0 - 1
COV
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1983 |
QPR
2 - 0
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 1983 |
NOT
0 - 4
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |