Análisis Aston Villa vs Reading
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 2012 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
18%
22%
61%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
MAC
5 - 0
ASV
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
ASV
2 - 3
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 3
ASV
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 2012 |
WIG
3 - 2
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
EVE
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 nov. 2012 |
QPR
1 - 1
REA
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2012 |
REA
5 - 7
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |