Análisis Astur vs La Fresneda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2025 |
AST
4 - 1
GIN
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 2
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
SIE
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
AST
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
PDV
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
FRE
34%
24%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 1
AND
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
LUA
1 - 1
FRE
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
REA
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
FRE
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |