Análisis Astur vs Narcea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 1
AST
46%
27%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
NAI
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 0
AST
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
AST
0 - 1
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
AST
3 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 0
HIS
23%
27%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
ROB
5 - 0
NAR
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 5
SPB
9%
20%
71%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 2
NAR
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
LEA
14%
23%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |