Análisis Astur vs Navarro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 2006 |
AST
4 - 1
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2006 |
NAV
3 - 2
AST
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
AST
3 - 2
CAU
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
LEA
3 - 4
AST
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
AST
0 - 1
MOS
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 2006 |
LEA
2 - 0
NAV
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2006 |
NAV
3 - 2
AST
34%
28%
39%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
COV
3 - 2
NAV
41%
27%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 0
CEA
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
TUI
1 - 1
NAV
52%
26%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |