Análisis Atlético Madrileño vs RSD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATB
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
ATB
2 - 1
CER
61%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
CDT
0 - 2
ATB
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
ATB
5 - 0
SPB
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
CPC
2 - 0
ATB
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Partidos
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
23%
30%
47%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 3
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
39%
28%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 2
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |