Copa del Rey Semifinal
Global 3-1
Análisis Athletic vs Granada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.56
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1969 |
ATH
3 - 1
DEP
72%
16%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1969 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1969 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1969 |
MAL
1 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1969 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 may. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAB
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1969 |
GRA
3 - 0
SAB
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |