Análisis Atlético Espeleño vs Ciudad de Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 jun. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 3
ESP
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2014 |
ESP
4 - 1
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 may. 2014 |
OSU
0 - 5
ESP
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
RUD
1 - 0
ESP
9%
19%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2014 |
ESP
5 - 1
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
CDL
20%
22%
59%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |