Análisis Atlético Jaén vs UD La Guardia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+95%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2008 |
CDH
2 - 1
ATL
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
CDT
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
CDR
0 - 0
ATL
29%
29%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 3
CDU
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2008 |
LAG
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
CLO
1 - 0
LAG
34%
24%
41%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
LAG
0 - 1
BAI
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
ADM
1 - 1
LAG
26%
25%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
LAG
2 - 4
FSV
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |