Análisis Atlético de Lugones vs La Caridad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
PRA
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 0
ATL
22%
28%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 2
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
La Caridad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 2
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AND
40%
26%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIL
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |