Análisis Atlético de Lugones vs Unión Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+90%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 1
ATL
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOS
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2010 |
COL
1 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2010 |
PCF
1 - 0
ATL
37%
26%
38%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
LEN
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
PIL
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 1
COM
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2010 |
COM
1 - 3
MOS
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 2010 |
COL
4 - 1
COM
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |