Análisis Atlético vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.46
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.7%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
34%
23%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1956 |
VAD
4 - 3
ATM
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 1956 |
ATM
2 - 0
OSA
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 1956 |
SEV
5 - 1
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 1956 |
ATM
8 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1956 |
OSA
1 - 1
RJA
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1956 |
RJA
3 - 1
SEV
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 1956 |
ESP
3 - 0
RJA
74%
16%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |