Análisis Atlético vs Real Madrid
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1978 |
SLA
2 - 2
ATM
27%
28%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 1
VCF
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1978 |
PEG
0 - 1
ATM
12%
16%
72%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
CEL
2 - 2
RMA
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 0
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 1978 |
RMA
4 - 0
REC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
RMA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |