Análisis At. Malagueño vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+54%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2002 |
VAN
1 - 2
MAL
20%
25%
54%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2002 |
MAL
5 - 0
UDS
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 3
MAL
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2002 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALH
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2002 |
CDL
0 - 0
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
LOJ
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 2002 |
UBE
0 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |