Análisis At. Malagueño vs Jerez Industrial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+33%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAL
93%
6%
2%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAL
48%
31%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAL
53%
29%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 1
AMA
55%
26%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1978 |
CPC
1 - 0
MAL
74%
19%
7%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1978 |
BAL
3 - 2
JER
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
JER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
VEL
2 - 0
JER
44%
30%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 1978 |
JER
1 - 0
UBE
44%
32%
25%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
JER
2 - 0
MER
46%
30%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |