Análisis At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+34%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 1965 |
MAL
1 - 0
ADR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1965 |
ANT
2 - 3
MAL
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 1965 |
MAL
2 - 2
AMA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1965 |
IMP
0 - 3
MAL
47%
26%
26%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 1965 |
MAL
1 - 1
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1965 |
RJA
2 - 0
UDF
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1965 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
42%
26%
31%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 dic. 1965 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1965 |
1 - 2
RJA
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1965 |
RJA
2 - 1
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |