Análisis At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+35%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1971 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAL
59%
25%
16%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1971 |
MAL
0 - 0
CDB
51%
27%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1971 |
ADL
1 - 2
MAL
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1971 |
MAL
1 - 2
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1971 |
SEV
1 - 1
MAL
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
XER
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
RJA
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1971 |
RJA
3 - 0
BET
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1971 |
CFC
4 - 0
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1971 |
RJA
5 - 1
CDB
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |