Análisis Mancha Real vs Adra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-42%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAN
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
RON
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
MAN
4 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
ALH
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Adra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADR
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
ADR
0 - 3
MAR
13%
23%
64%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
RON
3 - 0
ADR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
ADR
0 - 5
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
ADR
0 - 0
VIC
18%
24%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |