Análisis Mancha Real vs Arenas de Armilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.9%
Empate
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
46.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 0
MAN
77%
17%
6%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
28%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
UDS
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 3
BAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
ARE
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
ARE
5 - 1
UDS
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 0
ARE
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
ARE
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |