Análisis Mancha Real vs Baeza CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+260%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 3
MAN
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 3
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
MAN
5 - 0
MIJ
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
BNS
0 - 2
MAN
22%
26%
52%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
BAE
3 - 0
UDT
61%
24%
16%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
NER
1 - 0
BAE
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
BAE
1 - 0
BEN
30%
28%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
BAE
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2008 |
BAE
0 - 0
ALH
40%
28%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |