Análisis Mancha Real vs Baza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
NIJ
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
VAN
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2002 |
BAZ
3 - 0
ANT
45%
27%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
BAZ
2 - 1
VEL
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2002 |
AND
3 - 1
BAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 oct. 2002 |
BAZ
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |