Análisis Mancha Real vs Carolinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2003 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 0
VAN
49%
28%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
G74
2 - 1
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
NIJ
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
45%
29%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
CAR
5 - 1
UDS
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
MOT
2 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |