Análisis Mancha Real vs Carolinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.9%
Empate
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
TOR
22%
29%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
RUS
2 - 3
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
19%
28%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
GRA
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
FUE
1 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
UBE
2 - 0
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 feb. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |