Análisis Mancha Real vs CD Villacarrillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+76%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2014 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
RON
54%
25%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 1
MAN
33%
27%
39%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
UDS
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 1
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
CDE
1 - 0
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALH
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |