Análisis Mancha Real vs Loja
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Empate
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
UBE
0 - 2
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
TOR
32%
29%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDV
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
ARE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRA
23%
27%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
LOJ
1 - 1
BAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
LOJ
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
LOJ
3 - 2
UDS
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
MOT
3 - 2
LOJ
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
LOJ
3 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |