Análisis Mancha Real vs Loja
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.5%
Empate
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+42%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 0
GUA
42%
31%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
ALH
3 - 1
MAN
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 1
CAR
42%
30%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
LOJ
1 - 1
GRA
21%
27%
52%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2005 |
FUE
1 - 0
LOJ
72%
17%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
LOJ
0 - 1
BAZ
20%
26%
54%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
UBE
1 - 0
LOJ
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
LOJ
1 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |