Análisis Mancha Real vs Maracena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
29.6%
Empate
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
47.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAN
74%
19%
8%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
FUE
19%
26%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 may. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
HUE
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
G74
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
HUE
1 - 0
MAR
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -3 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +3 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALM
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |