Análisis Mancha Real vs CD Nerja Fundación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2008 |
MAN
7 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
ALH
0 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
31%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2008 |
JOD
0 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAE
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2008 |
NER
2 - 0
UDT
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2008 |
ALC
5 - 0
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 may. 2008 |
NER
0 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 2008 |
RON
2 - 0
NER
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
NER
5 - 3
JOD
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |