Análisis Atlético Marbella vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1991 |
AMA
1 - 0
MIJ
81%
15%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1991 |
ILI
0 - 0
AMA
26%
36%
38%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1991 |
UDM
0 - 1
AMA
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1991 |
AMA
0 - 0
MMA
69%
21%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1991 |
MOT
0 - 0
AMA
28%
35%
37%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 1991 |
RJA
3 - 0
GRA
33%
29%
39%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
77%
15%
7%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1991 |
RON
1 - 2
RJA
27%
29%
44%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 may. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 may. 1991 |
NER
2 - 0
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |