Análisis Atl. Mineiro vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
AMF
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
GOI
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 3
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |