Análisis Atl. Mineiro vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 5
CRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
TUP
0 - 1
ATM
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
ATM
3 - 2
TUP
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 1
NAC
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
18%
21%
62%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 0
NAU
12%
19%
70%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |