Análisis At. Nacional vs Alianza FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ago. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
NAC
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
EQU
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2017 |
HUI
1 - 1
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 2
PAS
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
JAG
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2017 |
EQU
1 - 1
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |