Copa Libertadores . Octavos
Global 1-2
Análisis At. Nacional vs Vélez Sarsfield
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
HUI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAT
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 3
DEF
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 3
VEL
24%
27%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |