Análisis At. Nacional vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAS
66%
20%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |