Recopa Sudamericana . Final
Global 5-3
Análisis At. Nacional vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
NAC
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 1
EST
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2017 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
23%
25%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |