Análisis At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2012 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCH
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
HUI
3 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SFE
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |