Análisis At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 2
NAC
23%
26%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2021 |
NAC
7 - 1
RSC
83%
13%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2021 |
ENV
0 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jul. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
TOL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 2
TOL
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |