Análisis At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2011 |
CUC
0 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HUI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFE
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 2
IND
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2011 |
IND
4 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |