Análisis At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 5
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2017 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2017 |
IND
4 - 1
PAS
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
IND
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2017 |
IND
3 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |