Análisis At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
NAC
14%
27%
60%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 1
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
HUI
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
ALI
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2017 |
EQU
2 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |