Análisis At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
CAL
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 3
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
HUR
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 0
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
ATT
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2020 |
TAC
2 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |